Mazuva Egore Matope Matenderedzwa emitambo uye Maonero

Tarisiro yezvimedu zvesimbi yakasimbiswa nenzira yakanaka kubvira muna 2016, nechinangwa chekuenzanisa uye kuenderera mberi nekukura kuburikidza ne 2017 ne 2018, zvichienderana nehuwandu hwematengesi emashamba.

Muenzaniso uye Kuenderera mberi Kukura kweAsimbi

I World Steel Association (worldsteel) yakabudisa muna October 2017 Short Range Outlook (SRO), ichiita kuti nyika yose ishandiswe pfuma yakawanda kusvika kusvika 1 622.1 Mutambo muna 2017. Muna 2018, inoti nyika yose inoda kudiwa ichawedzera zvishoma kusvika 1,648.1 Kusinga China, kusvika kusvika 856.4 Mt, kuwedzera kwe2.6% muna 2017 uye 882.4 Mt, kuwedzera kwe 3.0% muna 2018

"Takaona kuchinja kwekuvandudza nekusimudzira kwemakore ose, zvichiita kuti zvive nani kudarika zvinotarisirwa kuita kwezvinhu zvose zvakagadzirwa uye zviri kusimukira," akadaro TV Narendran, Chairman we worldsteel Economics Committee. Akacherechedza kuti njodzi dzakamboonekwa kare dzakadai sokusimudzirwa kwepulism / kuchengetedza, hurongwa hweUnited States, kusarudzo kweEU uye kushandiswa kweChina, kunyange zvazvo zvasara, zvakaderera. Kusagadzikana kwezvematongerwe enyika munharaunda yeKorea, dambudziko rekukwereta kweChina nekusimudzirwa kwekuchengetedzwa munzvimbo dzakasiyana-siyana zvinoramba zvichiri kuisa njodzi.

Muna 2018, boka racho rinotarisira kukura kwepasi rose kuenzanisa, kunyanya nekuda kwekuwedzera kukurumidza muChina, Narendran akati, kana kune dzimwe nyika, kuda kwesimbi kunoramba kuchiita kuti urambe iripo iye zvino. Sirasi kupora kunofananidzwa nechinangwa chekugadzirisa pane zvinogadzirisa zvinhu.

Imari yeUnited States yakaita zvakanaka, pamwe chete nechisimba chekushandisa mari uye kubwinya kwebhizimisi.

Kunyange zvazvo kufunganya pamusoro pezvinorehwa neEU nekusarura nyika zvakasara, kutamira kune imwe nyika kwakaguma sechinhu apo hurumende yeUnited States inowedzera kuwedzera. Siriri inoda mune hupfumi hwakabudirira inotarisirwa kuwedzera ne 2.3% mu 2017 uye 0.9% muna 2018.

Kutevera Copper

Mhangura inoshandiswa sechiratidzo chekutanga chebasa rezvehupfumi, kana kuti kushaiwa kwayo.

Sezvakataurwa munyaya yeS Smarter Analyst, "Dr. Copper - iyo simbi ine PhD mune zvehupfumi - ndiyo nguva yekutanga yekuziva nzira iyo hupfumi huchaenda nayo. kubva pazvivakovheni kusvika kune zvekugara uye nevashandisi emagetsi, inoita kuti chive chiratidzo chekutanga chekuita zvezvemari. "Sechiratidzo chinoshanda chezvemari, kukwira kwemitengo yemhangura inowanzozotevera nekukura kwezvemari uye zvakasiyana.

Kuwedzera kwehupfumi hupfumi munyika yose, kunotarirwa nekuwedzera kudiwa kwesimbi mumotokari magetsi uye nezvimwe zvinhu zvinotarisirwa, zvinotarisirwa kuita kuti misika yemakemikari inopera muna 2017 ne 2018, saka ichibatsira kusimudzira mutengo wemhangura.

Kunyange zvazvo mhangura yakakura ne6% muna 2016, maererano neInternational Copper Study Group (ICSG), zvigadzirwa zvemigodhi yenyika zvinotarisirwa kuderera neanofungidzirwa 3% muna 2017 uye kukura ne2,5% muna 2018. Nzvimbo itsva inowanikwa paIndaneti munyika dzakadai se Mexico nePeru zvakabatsira kusimbisa gore ra2016. Muna 2017, zvisinei, kukosha kwese kwakakanganiswa nekuvhiringidzika kwezvokudya muChile neIndonesia. ICSG iri kujekesa kukanganisa kwemari muna 2017 uye muna 2018. Kukanganisa kwema 150 000 metric tonnes (t) inotarisirwa muna 2017, uye inenge 105 000 t muna 2018, pasinei nekuwedzera kwekugadzirwa.

Mhangura muzvipuka zvose yakabatanidzwa ne 31% yeUnited States supply muna 2016. Matanda akare akagovera matani 170 000 emhangura, zvakaenzana ne 9% zvekuonekwa kushandiswa. Zvitsva zvitsva, zvakagadzirwa panguva yekugadzira michina, zvakapa matani 640,000 emhangura.

ChiChinese chakaremesa mhangura yemhangura inonzi inokwira ne14% gore rino, uye nyanzvi dzichitaura kuti vaChinese vanozvitenga vari kuvaka zvinyorwa kana vamwe vatsvakurudzi vanotaura kuti masangano ekutenga eChina angave achitsvaira mhangura yepepuru yekudzivirira kupererwa gore rinotevera, nekutya kuti bhanji inogona kukwira kusvika kune zvinomwe zvakasiyana zvezvipfunga zvemhangura zvendarira.

Zinc inoenderera mberi

Sangano reInternational Lead and Zinc Study Group (ILZSG) rakashuma kuti gengo rekugovera zinc rakakura 3% gore-ne-gore kwemwedzi mitanhatu yekutanga ya 2017.

Maererano nehuwandu hwemashoko akachangobva kuumbwa neI ILSG, mutengo wepasi rose wekunatswa kwechinc metal wakaona kukanganisa kwema 203 000 t, pamatani emamiriyoni 6.74-mamiriyoni, pamusoro pemwedzi mitanhatu yekutanga yegore.

Kubva munaAugust 2018, mutengo wakanga uri 36% kubvira pakutanga kwegore.

Maererano neU.S. Geological Survey , inenge 25% (35 000 tani) yeUnited States yakagadziridzwa yakakonzerwa yakakonzerwa nekugadzirisa zvinhu zvakare.